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This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 111 on the 16th to a low of 66 on the 5th. Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. For the first time since 2004, the average Fall temperature was below normal. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Today WinterCast Hourly Daily Radar MinuteCast Monthly Air Quality Health & Activities Winter Storm Warning Snow and Ice Outlook 12 - 18. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. Friday, April 08, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- April 8, 2022 Student forecaster Julia Castro has the latest on the weekend weather in northern Arizona. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. Officially the Tucson International airport recorded 1.82", which is around eight-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 48th driest Winter season on record. Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". The drought classification for the area degraded to D2 (Severe Drought) during May. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. Our Office; Monsoon; Monsoon Safety; SE Arizona drought page; . The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. When Does It End? The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. Five record high minimum (low) temperatures were set or tied during the month. including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. As always, stay tuned toArizona Weather Forcefor official forecasts and updates on weather across Arizona and if it says like page below, hit the button and get future updates. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. The National Weather Service in Phoenix predicts that Arizona is going to have a very wet and active monsoon season this summer, with nearly a 70% chance of precipitation expected to reach near. Well, until it's August. It is certainly a possibility with the threat of another La Nia on the horizon. There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. NWS Multiple locations were found. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. Hourly forecast for 08.02.2022. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. Winter, 2022. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. For an oddity record, the eight days with a high of 99 is the most on record for the month of August & any calendar month dating back to 1895. The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. Yuck. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. Here are some temperature highlights for the month: The monthly average temperature of 61.7 is two-tenths of a degree below normal and ranks as the 24th warmest March on record, tied with 2019. #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. CLICK HERE TO GO, The following articles were talked about in this write-up, November 5, 2021 The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. For comparison through the end of March, the current climate normal period (1991-2020) average temperature is 57.4 while the previous climate normal period (1981-2010) average temperature was 56.1. All NOAA. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. The annual monsoon was not quite as active as it was in 2021 with rainfall amounts ranging widely across the metro area from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. The deep monsoonal moisture that was over the area for most of the month started to dry out during the last week of the month under a drier upper air pattern. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? What are some fun things to do in the winter in Arizona? video. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. This fall, the almanac forecasted lower-than-usual temperatures across the United States, with cold temperatures taking over for good in late November. Reuben Salazar clears snow from his home in Flagstaff on Feb. 23, 2022. As usual, the polar vortex is another important wild card in the outlook. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. During the first 16 days of the month, no below normal highs were recorded. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75". Click on the images below for larger view. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. Please Contact Us. An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. This has also occurred in August 1963 & February 1905. What is the average temperature in Arizona in January? The first day of winter and the shortest day of the year, officially arrives on December 21, 2022, but that doesn't always mean that the cold temperatures and snow storms will wait until then. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 103 on the 6th to a low of 65 on the 17th. In my long range forecast for the season, I predicted 7-14 of rainfall with a likelihood of 10-14. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.48" is 1.20" BELOWnormal and ranks as the 17th driest January/February period on record. At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. One daily temperature record was set. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 104 on the 6th and 30th to a low of 70 on the 23rd. Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. This ranks as the 11th driest Spring on record. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. Questions? the . Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024. Amounts ranged from 4" to 9" with localized higher amounts up to 14". Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in January 2024. Please try another search. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. While it's true that large volcanic eruptions have historically had a temporary cooling effect on earth's climate, that's not the case for the Tongan eruption. Equal chances use the map provided below. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.23" which ranks as the 38th wettest June on record, tied with 1980. 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The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. "We continue the remarkable drive toward a third consecutive La Nia winter, a relatively rare occurrence in our recorded history, with the last three-peat occurring from 1998-2000," said Dr. Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. For the third year in a row, the La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to bring a lack of precipitation and warmer-than-average temperatures for not just Arizona, but the entire U.S. Southwest. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. Winter in Arizona is always a mixed bag. A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. But when will it really start? Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Heading into the last month of the 2022 Monsoon the September monthly outlook, issued by the Climate Prediction Center, called for "leaning above normal" for precipitation and temperature. The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. My model is showing drier than normal conditions for most of California, majorly drier than normal for Southern California than Northern. On average, there are 0 snowy days in Arizona in January. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. The most frigid weather will likely arrive in late January, and it could be rather brutal. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. Managing Editor Sandi Duncan says for our region, in the North Central . In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 October climate data across southeast Arizona. temperatures from Washington and northern . Local News Sports Politics Opinion For Subscribers . Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record. On the 6th, the 20th & 21st and the 28th & 29th. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. Questions? If you are a current member and NOT on a monthly plan, your Winter 2022 tier expires March 1st, but do not renew until the Spring 2022 tier is opened, which youll receive an email then. On social media:Find us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube. The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. April climate data across southeast Arizona. PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) Look for one last, mostly sunny day before an unsettled weather pattern arrives for the next few days in Arizona.Light winds and high clouds can be expected this morning . Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. About the author Related Posts Farmers' Almanac Staff The average Summer temperature of 88.3 is 1.2 above normal and is well shy of the two warmest Summers on record (90.0 in 2020 & 89.9 in 1994). It's not . Not all risky days will have rain/snow. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. On top of that, conditions change so rapidly from week to week that making predictions is as good as visiting a fortune teller. If it says liked, dont hit it because thats unfollowing and you wont get updates at AZWF page on your feed. 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. (Weather station: Payson, USA). Areas from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and mountain West are most favored to see above-average temperatures for the entire three-month winter period from December through February, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business, and Atmospheric G2. 3. July climate data across southeast Arizona. The drought classification for the area stood at D2 (Severe Drought). December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. 2023 www.azcentral.com. SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks. The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". Then it smashed that record. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD. The water year rainfall is at the half-way mark with a paltry 2.03" being recorded. The previous two occurrences were in 1984 & 2010. There should be no reason you shouldnt be informed. The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.81" BELOW normal & ranks as the 9th driest January through April period on record. How Winter Fashion Has Changed in 100 Years (PHOTOS), Eerie Vintage Photos of People Battling the Flu, Democratic Republic of the Congo | Franais, State of Vatican City (Holy See) | Italiano. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder, HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms. RELATED: Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. . Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 95 on the 26th to a low of 33 on the 8th. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. The Climate Prediction Center forecast for Fall 2022 called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures and a 22% chance of below normal temperatures. January climate data across southeast Arizona. This is the least amount in a year since there was ten in 2008. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 15th driest January through October period on record. All NOAA. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.57" BELOWnormal & ranks as the 14th driest January through March period on record. Toggle navigation. Weather; Archive; Weather Widget F. It's also the ninth time February this century that the average monthly temperature was below normal. The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. Enter any city, zip or place. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal.